Logistic growth: Introduction
Introduction to logistic growth
Inhibition of a linear growth model The model of limited exponential growth can be regarded as an adjustment of the linear growth model to model inhibition of growth. Suppose that a quantity satisfies the differential equation of linear growth, i.e., for some positive constant . The solution is a linear function in time , of which the graph is a straight line with slope . This function has no maximum. To get a gradual flattening of the graph you could introduce an inhibition factor into the differential equation:
Inhibition of an exponential growth model In a similar manner, the exponential growth model can be adapted to model inhibition of growth. Suppose that a quantity satisfies the differential equation of exponential growth, i.e., for some positive constant . The solution is an exponential function. To get a gradual flattening of the graph you could introduce an inhibition factor in the differential equation:
We also use the following expression for the inhibition factor:
It is surprising how well the logistic growth model describes many inhibited growth processes. Whether you study the growth of the surface area of a leaf, the weight of a pig, the size of a tumour, the spread of an infectious disease, enzyme kinetics, the growth spurt of boys and girls in puberty, or the growth of fungi, often the logistic growth model gives a very reasonable mathematical description of measured data (or at least first step hereto).